The events and problems surrounding the loss of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 have led to a series of worrying and terrible problems for international travel, travel, security and risk management personnel. Many people have yet to understand the full impact this event will have on the world. The problems range from technical flaws, crisis management, capable threat sources, news reporting to aviation safety and management. We will also study some new issues here that will also affect the future of travelers and managers. For those responsible for preparing and managing affected people and assets, this will help you with your analysis and future plans.
Now, more and more people are studying all the related issues, some of which are the first. The current world’s understanding of many related issues that they have taken for granted or not at all is now a great deal of attention. That's right!
Technical flaws: airplanes and smartphones
If the plane is a car, most people won't buy it. An amazing number of aircraft of 10, 20, 30 years or more are still serving commercial and domestic routes. The technology available on most aircraft is much older than last year's smartphone technology, including emergency communications and surveillance systems. Not to mention the lack of international integration for companies with better, more powerful technology solutions.
People generally mistakenly believe that the speed of development of aviation technology is similar to the speed of development of commercial technology, such as computers, telephones, and automobiles. In fact, this is not the case. Not only outdated aircraft, but also support systems such as radar, communications, reporting and database access. Although everything is fine, when there are no events or scandals, it usually does not become a topic of discussion or concern until one or more events occur and many people realize that insiders in the industry have realized and lobbied. Change for a while.
Coincidence and causality: lagging indicators are not a guarantee of the future
2012 and 2013 were the safest two years in aviation history. The problem with this fact is that the end result is not compliant, nor is it the result of deliberate actions that are designated as producing results, or just a series of random coincidences that peak at these times. Every year, more and more airlines, more flights, more destinations, more pilots and more passengers, in a different way, bring heavy weight to all relevant elements at different times. The burden has brought about very different consequences. The reality is that despite the recording of events and data, aviation health, safety, security and risk management are not 100% controlled, events and events will occur and do occur, often with catastrophic consequences.
Airspace management: entering the world and being 100% monitored?
They are very impressed by the average layman, who has a supercomputer that can track every air movement around the world, and can centrally access, verify and accurately track all air movements. They see it on their iPhone app or desktop computer through the website, so they must be the same for commercial and military air traffic control, right?
A growing number of reports and observations indicate that take-off and landing are actually the only closely monitored and interactive stages of domestic and international air navigation. Bulletin boards are still available at some locations to alert pilots and providers to changes in airspace on a given date or location, and civil and military systems do not interact, nor do they care or even see the same data. What happened and what was monitored within a few hours between take-off and landing was not so consistent, nor was it universal.
Shortly before the official news convergence, we have already mentioned and commented on previous articles on Australian airspace interoperability.
The facts still exist. Although civil and military institutions can use all current technologies and monitoring methods, it can make a large, modern aircraft with more than 200 souls disappearing without a shadow. No trace.
Who is watching? : Views of NSA and other global regulators
Snowden’s disclosure of civil and social surveillance programs has shocked and shocked many people. Therefore, everyone thinks that monitoring should be done anytime, anywhere. This is not unrealistic. If this is the case, all storms will be reported to the victim before the attack, and the murder victim will warn of the imminent threat and will capture, report and respond to all accidents, such as a crash, before the actual crash.
Although most people and even professionals believe that many potentially important activities [such as aviation] are not always monitored in real time, they cannot be reported or acted upon with minimal changes. Finding data or related information even after the fact has occurred can be difficult or impossible. Not to mention that even with data on certain events, data, sources and collection methods will never be made public for the purpose of protecting confidentiality.
Although there are applications and desktop/online portals that can access flight schedules, track flights, aviation statistics and even air radio transmissions, the amount of data, channels and activity in one minute per day is still 24/7, which is An amazing digital distance has a long way to go to achieve real-time, universal monitoring and access to such activities. The bad guys know this too.
Warning signs: related, research, exercise or coincidence?
In the first few months of 2014, several key events have occurred involving aviation safety and security related to Malaysia Airlines MH370.
Ethiopian Airlines Flight 702 from
It is important not because it is suspected of hijacking an airplane flying to the EU and the main capital, but because the story was not issued by a professional or government agency, but one of the crew members was suspected of hijacking. Online enthusiasts, amateur rankings and other crowdsourcing intelligence are responsible for identifying, reporting and tracking events, thus providing convenience to the international press community. If this is not the case, and the skilled online community gathers at that particular time, until the event has been observed until the event occurs, it will be a single-line news update for online or evening news. The deprived crew also provided many surprises for the purchase of aircraft misuse.
Recently, a series of interesting events occurred on Etihad EY 461 flights, which were unchecked and did not have sufficient risk control and supervision. Therefore, for providers and travelers, commercial interests are higher than The actual risk management principles. We recently pointed out some negligence and improvements in an article on this topic.
Crisis management: planning and learning skills that are not part of the promotion qualification
Due to the emergence of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370, the government, the national aircraft carrier, military leaders and many others have collectively and very publicly appeared, many of whom have shown shocking under-preparation, lack of coordination and cultural restrictions, this with international news and Affected audience.
Catastrophic failures, accidents, and random events are not always blamed on those who cannot communicate and coordinate responses, but when their actions are inadequate, inconsistent, suspicious, lacking coordination, or just random, everyone They began to question their participation in the tragedy, and fewer and fewer of the job titles required them to act on behalf of the victims and everyone in their best interests and become increasingly hostile. For the audience around the world and the people who have been tragically affected by the incident, the pain is that it is obvious that most people are not prepared for such events, nor are they effectively involved, exchanges and coordination without prior reservation. event.
Global news and reports: random and misleading
To say the least, the quality, accuracy and changing focus of the news and media interests surrounding the event are incredible. Not because of the lack of detail, but because of the focus on creating and publishing stories, random and crazy changes in theory and data. A perfect example is a story called '. Malaysia Airlines Fligth 370: Runway within range This is neither accurate nor has any valid relationship with the event. In the unproven case, the randomly selected runway has never had a large commercial aircraft on it, no instrument approach capability, no control tower at night, and no ground emergency support resources do not meet the flight time of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370. And the situation is coerced. This represents an industry's hourly conspiracy theory and random topics, which have been declining in their influence and ability in recent years. This is part of the reason why the amateur community provided important information for world news services during Ethiopia. The company was suspected of hijacking.
Airport security: many people hate and hate
Since the 9/11 catalyst, although it has continued to lose interest in airport security, tolerance and funding, it has recovered as a result of the incident. Most airport security systems are ineffective for intelligent, coordinated, and capable threat groups, focusing more on random, individual behaviors and highly responsive to yesterday's threats: this is a frustrating part of many people the reason. There is little international consistency between the application and implementation of aviation security, which in turn encourages more capable international threat groups to find and exploit vulnerable and accessible channels.
Retrospective findings and revelations indicate that there are so many airport security anomalies on this flight that will bring change, innovation and frustration to the passengers.
Passports: growing illicit markets and utilities
To a large extent, technology has progressed very slowly in the commercial aviation sector, as has passport and passport controls. In a world where currency and currency interactions and electronic identification and verification take place in a matter of seconds, paper books for international travel are ridiculous, but as not all countries and users have resources or technology, this reality will Become a reality for a while. For any more advanced ones. This means they may also be used fraudulently.
International agencies such as Interpol have been trying for years to raise awareness of the gaps and threats posed by stolen passports in particular. Coupled with the increasing number of attempts to collect valid passports through illegal and false means, it has led to a large number of international travelers or opportunities to migrate among business travelers. Opportunities detected are also reduced when non-compliance with screening measures or verification of conventional and general defects in the system. Those who exploit or exploit these vulnerabilities range from frightening to fatal.
Successful plans and ideas: spawn the next generation of threats
Better prizes always attract better quality and ready competitors. The same is true of the world based on crime, violence or terrorist threats. Because of cultural ties, technology, and even institutions, training and tactics are always shared among these people and groups, and eventually you will gather like-minded collaborators. However, when any one or more of these groups succeed and then disclose their plans and strategies, a large number of capable and potential threats are free to adopt similar plans. We have seen this in the past decade. From 9/11, similar terrorist attacks have taken place in Pakistan, Mumbai and Algeria, and each group has continued to develop after learning and improvement.
Direct impact and possible outcomes of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370
Aviation technology will face new pressures of modernization and upgrading. This will impose an economic burden on already stressed industries and may drive certain providers or services out of certain markets. Governments will also be forced to regulate and spend in this area, but inconsistent international results will not bridge the gap or solve problems in the next decade. For the empowered and persistent threat groups, this gap remains a key vulnerability.
Aviation standards and risk indicators will be reviewed in the light of the complete disappearance of the aircraft and the inability to locate aircraft in time. For some providers or markets, certain standards will be too cumbersome, further widening the gap between advanced economies and emerging economies. Evidence without defects will no longer be seen by regulators and consumers as evidence of no defects. Buyers and consumers will change their spending habits to the safety, security and risk management indicators they think or feel better.
Need to change the airspace management. Infrastructure aging requires public/private spending, but in most cases there is no direct cost recovery. Like the MH370 flight, both intentional and accidental events will continue to occur until effective changes are made in the space. In the case of challenging traditional practices, transparency and acceptance may precede real change.
Self-monitoring and awareness has begun. Buyers and consumers are now more suspicious, and they are actively seeking ways to monitor or self-help in routine or emergency situations. Personal applications and online portals have been used or cited as a means of transparency for consumers after perceived or government deficiencies or unwillingness to share, so there is little collective trust or trust in the industry. The family handicraft industry will accelerate the attraction of consumers and provide access to the scenes behind the scenes. Data and information.
New trends and strategies for future threat groups will include one or more areas of exploitation that are publicly disclosed in the MH370 flight event in Malaysia. Incentives and attention will lead to high-end, international, coordinated national/non-state actors that are now considered viable options for their career or campaign.
Failure of crisis management will lead to a lack of confidence in institutions, regulators and national operators. Although individual failures will result in termination or replacement, corporate damage and setbacks will have a significant economic and confidence impact on all personnel associated with or responsible for poor management and response to the incident. Malaysian citizens will be affected by the election and support of public officials who have proven to have long-term relationships with systems that lead to process and progress failures.
The credibility of news capture and reporting will be reduced and become an unverified secondary source of relevant events. Data sources or validations from social journalism and community and skilled experts will be promoted and utilized through traditional mainstream mass media channels. Various forms of short, updatable content will provide a large number of non-professionals with information and education on technology and related issues during high-priority or emergency communications events.
Airport security will undergo new restructuring and key adjustments. Social descriptions will once again be a good reason and seek more exploratory background details for travelers, such as careers and affiliations. The crew will also be subject to more inspections and verification. Both inbound and outbound flights will be subject to more inspections of routes entering specific destinations such as the United States. As a result of enhanced measures, on-board safety measures will be introduced and commuting comfort will be reduced. The huge differences between standards will lead to this difference and vary from one airline, geographic location and cultural hub to another.
The passport and verifiable database will be re-addressed. Limited measures will be taken to upgrade the current identity format, based on certain locations or jurisdictions on boarding passes, passports, visa applications and other documentation requirements for competent, resource-rich criminals and threats that have no effect. A secondary identification document group is required. As systems attempt to communicate with each other and access data through secure, timely, and changing and failing systems, the increased cost is passed to the provider, causing longer delays for travelers.
Once the full details of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 appear and are investigated, new threats, concerns and controls arise. Take immediate action, and families and community groups will put pressure on those who are considered or considered to be responsible. Although there may be a loss of public interest and support, there will be ongoing campaigns on the web that will update the lives of the public, news agencies and investors. The threat team will refine and implement strategies, lessons learned, and new or improved solutions that are not fully functional. A new generation of aviation, terrorism and related security experts will take responsibility and contribute to the comments of the incident and prevent or capture specific individuals and groups that have the ability or intention to repeat the fears and tragedies associated with Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370. Make new contributions.
The events and problems surrounding the loss of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 have led to a series of worrying and terrible problems for international travel, travel, security and risk management personnel. It is now understandable how and where the event will affect or change aviation and tourism. The problems range from technical flaws, crisis management, capable threat sources, news reporting to aviation safety and management. These issues will also affect the future of travelers and managers. For those responsible for preparing and managing the affected people and assets, you will get a more complete overview for analysis and future planning.